Financial TimesFinancial Times

There is no path to lasting Russian victory

By Gideon Rachman

16 Jan 2023 · 3 min read

Editor's Note

Russia's "reward" for a military victory over Ukraine would be a drawn-out guerrilla war that would make Afghanistan look like a picnic, the FT's Gideon Rachman argues.

“Don’t write off Russia” — that was the muttered warning of a European diplomat, with long experience in Moscow. It is a fair point. Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine has gone badly wrong. But Russia remains a huge country, with plentiful resources and a ruthless, brutal government.

Ukraine’s intelligence services think that further conscription drives may allow Russia to deploy an army of 2mn for a renewed offensive later this year. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy recently warned that Moscow might soon make a fresh attempt to capture Kyiv.

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