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Why is a U.S. general predicting war with China by 2025?

By Christian Shepherd and Pei-Lin Wu

30 Jan 2023 · 4 min read

Editor's Note

A top U.S. general believes open military conflict between the U.S. and China could come in as little as two years. The Washington Post examines whether there's good reason for the dire prediction.

Open conflict between China and the United States could be just two years away, according to an unusually blunt memo by a top U.S. general that is just the latest in a number of alarming predictions that the world's two leading military powers are at risk of direct collision, most likely over the fate of Taiwan.

The warning came from a top Air Force commander, Gen. Michael A. Minihan, who cited Chinese leader Xi Jinping's securing of a third term and the January 2024 presidential elections in Taiwan, the self-governing democracy of 23 million that Beijing claims as its territory, as reasons to accelerate troop preparation.

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